【禁聞】王立軍事件各派放風 專家解析

【新唐人2012年2月21日訊】重慶副市長王立軍出逃美領館，在中共官場掀起一輪又一輪的衝擊波。中共最高當局如何處理王立軍案，成為世界關注的焦點。最近，有傳言說：王立軍將以「精神障礙」結案，而薄熙來可能「軟著陸」躲過這一劫。分析人士指出，這很可能是江澤民人馬出於一廂情願放出的假消息。

被撤除重慶公安局長職務的王立軍前往美領館避難，後被中央官員帶到北京進行審查之後，關於中共最高層如何處理王立軍案和薄熙來的未來去向，一直傳言不斷。

香港《明報》曾經援引相關消息說，中央已經初步定調，王立軍涉及「極為嚴重的政治問題」。但不久前，重慶媒體報導網上「流傳」一份關於王立軍患有「重度抑鬱症」的「診斷證明」。出具時間是2月4號，蓋有「第三軍醫大學」大坪三院的公章，但沒有醫生署名，也沒有編號。

《法國國際廣播電臺》近期引述北京政治評論人士李偉東在微博上的話說：已經確認（王立軍）是間歇性幻想型精神病。因此是孤立突發個別事件。因此會平穩過渡。頂多是略丟臉，檢討下就算了。最多是﹙薄熙來﹚不入常﹙委﹚了。

對此，河北自由撰稿人朱欣欣對《新唐人》表示，中共各派實質上是「黑吃黑」的腐敗利益集團，他們有著共同根本利益。為避免整個集團的崩潰，他們會盡量對薄熙來「內部處理」。

朱欣欣：「肯定會經過一番討價還價，把他調離重慶，給他安排一個像徵性的職務，給他調開，這麼處理掉。但是常委肯定是入不成了，對他是個決定性的打擊。」

北京憲政學者陳永苗則認為，當局為了18大順利召開，很可能不會儘快作出相應處理。

陳永苗：「對於王立軍，我覺得他的處置方案應該會在十八大以後，才會公開披露。到底是逮捕還是叛逃、還是重大政治錯誤，我覺得到十八大之後才能出現。」

2月9號，「第三軍醫大學」大坪三院向媒體證實，王立軍患有「重度抑鬱症」的「診斷證明」是偽造的。

另有報導說，薄熙來準備好關於王立軍「重度抑鬱」的診斷書之後，原本計劃在2月7號，當他在雲南視察時，讓王立軍「被自殺」。但沒想到王立軍提前出逃美領館，從而使薄熙來計劃敗露。為掩蓋真相，2月8號，重慶當局宣佈王立軍「接受休假式治療」。

關於王立軍將以「精神障礙」結案的說法，時政評論家章天亮分析指出，很可能是江系人馬為了誤導輿論而放出的假消息。

香港《明鏡網》2月16號報導說，薄熙來很可能已經僥倖躲過這一劫。

網路傳聞，薄熙來最有可能沿循「王樂泉模式」實現「軟著陸」，但是，他的政治生命基本將結束。

章天亮指出，王立軍事件已經成為國際事件，事件所曝光的薄熙來、周永康乃至江澤民的黑幕，已經不是江澤民所能控制和掩蓋的。

美國《華盛頓時報》披露，王立軍向美國方面提供了薄熙來和周永康密謀整垮習近平等驚人內幕。日前，美國國會已經要求歐巴馬政府提交處理王立軍案的相關資料。

新唐人記者秦雪、李謙、孫寧採訪報導

Diagnose Wang Lijun with “Mental Disorders” to Release Bo Xilai?

Wang Lijun, the Chongqing vice-mayor, fled to the U.S.

Consulate in Chengdu , stirring up one wave after another.

How is the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) dealing with the

Wang incident, which has attracted the world’s attention.

Recently, there have been rumors saying that

Wang’s case will be closed

due to his “mental disorders”, then Bo Xilai may perhaps

be lucky enough to escape from this disaster.

However, analysts point out that this rumor

reportedly was spread by Jiang Zemin’s faction.

Wang Lijun, who was removed from his position as Chief of

Chongqing Police Bureau earlier, fled to the U.S. consulate in Chengdu.

Then the CCP Central senior officials took him to Beijing

from the Consulate for investigation.

Rumors are continuously spreading regarding how

the CCP central leaders will deal with Wang and Bo.

The Hong Kong “Ming Pao” quotes relative news that

the Central leaders have had an initial theme,

which is that Wang has been involved in “serious political issues”.

However, not long ago, Chongqing media reported that,

there is a “doctor’s diagnosis” being spread on the internet

that proves Wang is suffering “severe depression”.

It is dated February 4th with the stamp of the Third Daping

Hospital of the Third Military Medical University.

However, it doesn’t have doctor’s signature,

or a registered number.

Radio France Internationale quotes Beijing political

commentator Li Weidong on Weibo’s posts,

“It has been confirmed that Wang has been diagnosed with

intermittent fantasy psychosis.

The posts said that, therefore Wang’s case is an individual

incident, and that there will be a smooth transition.

The worst that will happen is that Wang will lose face and

will criticize himself. In addition, Bo will no longer have a chance to join the Standing Committee.

Zhu Xinxin, an independent writer told NTD that, the CCP is a

Corrupt group which acts as a mafia and fights like a mafia. They have similar basic interests.

In order to avoid its collapse, the CCP will try its best to

deal with Bo Xilai’s case internally.

Zhu Xinxin says, “There certainly will be a negotiation process.

Transferring Bo from Chongqing, arranging him a symbolic post.

Sending him away to remove him from public view.

However, he has no chance of joining the Standing Committee; this is a major blow for him.”

Chen Yongmiao, a Beijing Constitutional Scholar said that

the authority most likely will not take action immediately

because its first priority is that the 18th National Congress

must be allowed to progress smoothly.

Chen Yongmiao says:”I think that (the authority) will announce

the decision on Wang Lijun after the 18th National Congress.

Whether Wang’s action was avoidance of arrest, or a defection,

or a serious political mistake will be announced later.”

On February 9th, the Third Daping Hospital of

the Third Military Medical University said to media that

the “Diagnosis Certification” that alleges that

Wang Lijun suffered “Severe Depression” is forged.

Another report said that after Bo Xilai had prepared

the “Severe Depression” diagnosis,

he planned to let Wang Lijun “be suicided” on February 7th

when Bo himself was to visit Yunnan Prov.

But he hadn’t foreseen that Wang Lijun would flee to

the U.S. Consulate in advance.

So Bo’s plan was brought to light, and the Chongqing authority

had to announce that Wang was in “vacation-style therapy” on February 8th.

About the rumor that Wang’s case will be end with

a statement that Wang has “mental disorders”,

the political commentator Zhang Tianliang has said that,

this is clearly false news spread by the Jiang Zemin faction in an attempt to mislead public opinion.

The Hong Kong “Mirror Network” reported on February 16th

that Bo Xilai has very likely escaped from this incident with luck.

There are online rumors as well that are saying that Bo Xilai

will most likely have a “soft landing” in the Wang lequan mode.

But ultimately his political life is basically over.

Zhang Tianliang has pointed out that Wang’s case has become

an international incident.

The case has exposed the dark actions committed by Bo Xilai,

Zhou Yongkang and Jiang Zemin.

The current situation can’t be controlled or shielded by Jiang.

The U.S. “Washington Times” has disclosed that Wang Lijun

unveiled awful facts to the U.S. that Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang have worked together secretly to topple Xi Jinping.

Recently, U.S. congress has asked the Obama authority for

the documents which were used to deal with Wang’s case.

NTD reporters Qin Xue, Li Qian and Sun Ning